![]() ![]() The truth is, however, that pokies do not work the same way as the weather or a bus schedule. Conversely, if they are winning, it means a machine is “paying” – and it makes sense to keep going. ![]() When players haven’t had a win, they believe one is due, so it makes sense to keep going. This explains why gamblers often spend long hours in front of a poker machine. So, when we hear “poker machines are random”, we naturally interpret this in the same way: that poker machines follow general patterns, and the longer you go without a win the more likely one is to occur. Despite this, we often make predictions on the weather and on public transport. Most would understand what these sentences mean: weather and bus schedules are difficult to predict. Part of the problem is the way we use the word “random” in everyday speech.įor example, consider the sentences “the weather is random” or “the buses come at random”. Psychologists have long known that most people struggle with understanding randomness. A large component of therapy for problem gamblers, developed at the University of Sydney’s Gambling Treatment Clinic by Fadi Anjoul, is based on tackling these misconceptions and helping them understand how those misconceptions may have been driving their gambling. However, gamblers often fail to understand these concepts properly. They have an expected return set somewhere between 85% and 92%, depending on the jurisdiction and choices made by the venue. ![]()
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